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Bernard Tekpetey
25'
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Jakub Piotrowski
47'
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Bernard Tekpetey
50'
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Claude Goncalves
54'
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Jakub Piotrowski
58'
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Kiril Despodov
67'
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Max Ebong
27'
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Dembo Darboe
29'
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Abat Aymbetov
34'
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Dusan Jovancic
43'
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Dusan Jovancic
77'
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Astana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Astana had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Astana Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 12.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 69.96%
0-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.77%
1-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 11.26%
Head to Head
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Zarko Tomasevic
40'
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Stjepan Loncar
47'
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Aleksandr Marochkin
53'
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Abzal Beysebekov
66'
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Zarko Tomasevic
90'+3'
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Noah Sonko-Sundberg
34'
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Claude Goncalves
47'
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Olivier Verdon
87'