Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb4 - 0Astana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Hajduk Split
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Astana
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Osijek | 12 | 6.00 | Bukvic |
2 | Rijeka | 4 | 4.00 | Jankovic |
3 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2.00 | Livaja |
4 | Slaven Koprivnica | 2 | 1.00 | Crnac |
5 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1.00 | Petkovic |
6 | Gorica | 1 | 1.00 | Vujnovic |
7 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 1.00 | Erceg |
8 | NK Lokomotiva | 1 | 1.00 | Bubanja |
9 | Varazdin | 1 | 1.00 | Brodic |
10 | Rudeš | 0 | 0.00 |
We said: Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 Astana
Dinamo Zagreb will be aiming to provide themselves with some breathing space ahead of making the lengthy journey to Kazakhstan for the second leg of this tie next week. There is little doubt that the Croatians have much more individual quality than Astana, and we can envisage them winning by a couple of goals to increase their chances of making it through to the third round of qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Astana had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
Result | ||
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
56.84% ( 0.02) | 23.14% | 20.02% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.72% ( -0.01) | 48.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.43% ( 0.02) |
Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.24% ( 0) | 16.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.3% ( 0) | 46.71% |
Astana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.65% ( -0.02) | 38.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -0.02) | 75.11% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dinamo Zagreb 56.83%
Astana 20.02%
Draw 23.14%
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.02% |
How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Astana
Dinamo Zagreb
80.5%Draw
4.9%Astana
14.6%41
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2018 7pm
Aug 7, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 18:14:16
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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