Champions League
Jul 25, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion Maksimir
  • Dario Spikic 35' goal
  • Luka Ivanusec 41' goal
  • Luka Ivanusec 43' goal
  • Luka Ivanusec 56' goal
  • yellowcard Yan Vorogovskiy 66'

Dinamo Zagreb vs Astana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Astana

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Astana had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result

Dinamo Zagreb 56.84% (+0.02)
Draw 23.14%
Astana 20.02% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.72% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 48.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 29.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.43% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.38% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.62% (+0.01)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5 83.24% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.76%
Over 1.5 53.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.71%

Astana Goals

Over 0.5 61.65% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.35% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.9% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 75.11% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 56.83%
Draw 23.14%
Astana 20.02%
Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 11.48% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.25% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 56.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.14%
Astana
0-1 @ 6.16%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head

Champions League Qualifying
Aug 14, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mario Gavranovic 74' goal
  • yellowcard Evgeny Postnikov 44'
  • yellowcard Sergey Maliy 56'
Champions League Qualifying
Aug 7, 2018 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ivan Maevski 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Izet Hajrovic 36'
  • goal Mario Budimir 39'
  • yellowcard Peter Stojanovic 41'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 70'
  • goal Dani Olmo 84'