Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Astana Arena

Astana
0 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb

(Dinamo Zagreb win 6-0 on aggregate)

Tomasov (45+2'), Jovancic (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marochkin (24' og.), Marin (89')
Spikic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Astana and Dinamo Zagreb, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Astana
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Champions League

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Istra 1961 0-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Astana win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Astana	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
29.07% ( -0)	26.77%	44.15% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.88% (

-0)

55.12% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63%

76.37% (

-0)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0)

34.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0)

70.72% (

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18%

24.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.6% (

59.4% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Astana 29.07%

Dinamo Zagreb 44.15%

Draw 26.77%

Astana	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.07%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.15%