Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.