Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana.