Champions League
Jul 11, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Stozice
  • Mustafa Nukic 42' goal
  • Rui Pedro 74' goal
  • goal Meissa Diop 87'

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Valmiera

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana.

Result

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 46.14% (+0.79)
Draw 24.47% (-0.17)
Valmiera 29.39% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.11% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.58% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 45.42% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 32.25% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 67.75% (-0.39)
Over 4.5 16.25% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 83.75% (-0.28)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5 80.21% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 19.79% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 48.15% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 51.85% (-0.82)

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 28.8% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 35.35% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 64.65% (+0.28)

Score analysis

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 46.14%
Draw 24.46%
Valmiera 29.39%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.03% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.04% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.13% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.04% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.64% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.46%
Valmiera
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 29.39%