Europa League
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Steven Bergwijn
45'
-
Kenneth Taylor
56'
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Steven Berghuis
74'
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Marcel Heister
55'
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Matias Tissera
62'
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Claude Goncalves
71'
Ajax vs Ludogorets Razgrad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Ajax
53.16%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
20.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Ludogorets Razgrad
26.02%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
67.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
30.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
48.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
51.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
29.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
70.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
88.14%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
11.85%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
62.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
37.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5
76.61%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
23.38%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
42.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
57.36%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Ajax
53.16%
Draw
20.81%
Ludogorets Razgrad
26.02%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.16%
3-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.16%
Draw
1-1
@
8.59%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.81%
2-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.81%
Ludogorets Razgrad
1-2
@
6.24%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.02%
Head to Head
Europa League
-
Olivier Verdon
70'
-
Mohammed Kudus
16'
-
Mohammed Kudus
18'
-
Brian Brobbey
40'
-
Mohammed Kudus
50'
-
Jakov Medic
81'