Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.