Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 3
Vitesse

Mattsson (26')
van Rooij (45+2'), Verdonk (53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

van Ginkel (6'), Oroz (89'), Manhoef (90+4')
Meulensteen (18'), van Ginkel (25'), Hendriks (30'), Hamulic (65'), Kozlowski (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Vitesse
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Vitesse
48.15% ( 1.23)	23.24% ( -0.14)	28.6% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 60.82% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.71% (

-0.04)

40.29% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.33% (

-0.04)

62.66% (

0.04)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

0.45)

16.98% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.9% (

0.8)

47.09% (

-0.8)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.74)

26.74% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.99% (

-0.99)

62.01% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

NEC 48.15%

Vitesse 28.61%

Draw 23.24%

NEC	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 7% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.61%