Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.