Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
3 - 0
Utrecht

Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 4-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
47.13% ( 0.01)	23.03% ( -0.01)	29.83% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

0.03)

38.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19% (

0.03)

60.81% (

-0.03)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

0.02)

16.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.43% (

0.03)

46.57% (

-0.03)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.02)

25.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

0.02)

59.72% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

NEC 47.13%

FC Utrecht 29.83%

Draw 23.03%

NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 4.32% Total : 47.13%	1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.83%