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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Vitesse

FC Twente
1 - 0
Vitesse

Steijn (39')
Sadilek (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oroz (36'), Cocu (37'), Pinto (45+3'), de Regt (65'), Kozlowski (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, September 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Vitesse

Twente had a difficult Sunday afternoon at Waalwijk and looked unrecognisable from the side who started their campaign with four victories, but supporters will be expecting a return to winning ways on Wednesday. Vitesse are enduring an early-season rut under the questionable management of former Derby County boss Cocu, and we believe the Arnhem-based club will come away from De Grolsch Veste without any tangible reward for their efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
54.42% (0.54 0.54) 21.35% (0.067 0.07) 24.22% (-0.611 -0.61)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95% (-0.996 -1)35.05% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.95% (-1.118 -1.12)57.04% (1.115 1.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.178 -0.18)13% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.47% (-0.357 -0.36)39.53% (0.354 0.35)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (-1.001 -1)27.12% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-1.325 -1.33)62.51% (1.322 1.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 54.42%
    Vitesse 24.22%
    Draw 21.35%
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.272 0.27)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 24.22%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Vitesse

FC Twente
93.1%
Draw
6.9%
Vitesse
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Vitesse
2-2
FC Twente
Vidovic (44'), Bero (52')
Van Wolfswinkel (33' pen.), Cerny (59')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
FC Twente
3-0
Vitesse
Brenet (37'), Misidjan (74'), Smal (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
FC Twente
3-0
Vitesse
Bosch (18'), Van Wolfswinkel (45+1' pen., 53')

Doekhi (30')
Rasmussen (45')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Vitesse
1-4
FC Twente
Darfalou (62')
Doekhi (42'), Schubert (45+1'), Bero (58')
Doekhi (85')
Propper (3', 56'), Van Wolfswinkel (45+1' pen.), Vlap (60')
Brama (18'), Sadilek (39'), Zerrouki (45+1')
Apr 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
FC Twente
1-2
Vitesse
Danilo (20' pen.)
Dumic (4'), Roemeratoe (88')
Tannane (44' pen., 90+5')
Broja (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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