/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
-
Sem Steijn
39'
-
Michal Sadilek
67'
-
Alois Oroz
36'
-
Phillip Cocu
37'
-
Mica Pinto
45'+3'
-
Gyan de Regt
65'
-
Kacper Kozlowski
76'
FC Twente vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F43%2Fphillip-cocu.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
54.42%
▲
(+0.54)
Draw
21.35%
▲
(+0.07)
Vitesse
24.22%
▼
(-0.62)
Both Teams to Score:
63.4%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.95%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 2.5
35.05%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 3.5
42.95%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 3.5
57.04%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 4.5
24.56%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 4.5
75.44%
▲
(+0.94)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
86.99%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
13%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
60.47%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
39.53%
▲
(+0.36)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
72.87%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 0.5
27.12%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
37.48%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 1.5
62.51%
▲
(+1.33)
Score analysis
FC Twente
54.42%
Draw
21.35%
Vitesse
24.22%
FC Twente
2-1
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 54.42%
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 54.42%
Draw
1-1
@
9.39%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.35%
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.35%
Vitesse
1-2
@
6.12%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 24.22%
Head to Head
-
Danilho Doekhi
42'
-
Marcus Schubert
45'+1'
-
Matus Bero
58'
-
Oussama Darfalou
62'
-
Danilho Doekhi
85'
-
Robin Propper
3'
-
Wout Brama
18'
-
Michal Sadilek
39'
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
45'+1'
-
Ramiz Zerrouki
45'+1'
-
Robin Propper
56'
-
Michel Vlap
60'