Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 27, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
1 - 0
Vitesse

Steijn (39')
Sadilek (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oroz (36'), Cocu (37'), Pinto (45+3'), de Regt (65'), Kozlowski (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, September 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Vitesse
54.42% ( 0.54)	21.35% ( 0.07)	24.22% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 63.4% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.95% (

-1)

35.05% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.95% (

-1.12)

57.04% (

1.11)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99% (

-0.18)

13% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.47% (

-0.36)

39.53% (

0.35)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

-1)

27.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

-1.33)

62.51% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 54.42%

Vitesse 24.22%

Draw 21.35%

FC Twente	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.42%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.81% Total : 24.22%