Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.