Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.