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Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
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Excelsior
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
PEC Zwolle

FC Twente
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Sadilek (18'), Steijn (76'), Schendelaar (90+4' og.)
Unnerstall (31'), Hilgers (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Druijf (33' pen.)
van Hintum (26'), Reijnders (35'), Lam (42'), van Polen (53'), Kersten (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Riga FC 0-3 FC Twente
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawPEC Zwolle
65.46% (-0.46000000000001 -0.46)17.82% (0.235 0.23)16.71% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 63.94% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.08% (-0.755 -0.75)28.92% (0.753 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.12% (-0.931 -0.93)49.88% (0.928 0.93)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.63% (-0.3 -0.3)8.36% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.88% (-0.745 -0.75)29.12% (0.743 0.74)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.254 -0.25)30.23% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (-0.305 -0.31)66.39% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 65.46%
    PEC Zwolle 16.71%
    Draw 17.82%
FC TwenteDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27% (0.186 0.19)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.37% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 65.46%
1-1 @ 7.51% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.02% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 16.71%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 24
FC Twente
1-0
PEC Zwolle
Rots (19')

van den Belt (46'), Paal (53')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-3
FC Twente
Lagsir (89')
Limnios (15'), Ugalde (39'), Misidjan (52')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 7
FC Twente
5-1
PEC Zwolle
Menig (5'), Danilo (29'), Brama (33'), Cerny (51'), Ilic (84')
Pierie (47')
Reijnders (74')
Apr 12, 2020 3.45pm