Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.