UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 1, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Zimbru
0 - 4
Fenerbahce

(Fenerbahce win 9-0 on aggregate)

Guera (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tadic (48'), Batshuayi (57', 59'), Yuksek (77')
Osayi-Samuel (80'), Kapacak (90+2')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zimbru and Fenerbahce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbru

Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-0 Zimbru
Wednesday, July 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-0 Zimbru
Wednesday, July 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 85.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.05%) and 0-1 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.93%), while for a Zimbru win it was 1-0 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Zimbru	Draw	Fenerbahce
3.86% ( 0.04)	10.59% ( 0.08)	85.55% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 34.63% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.34% (

-0.17)

36.66% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.18% (

-0.18)

58.82% (

0.17)

Zimbru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.86% (

0.08)

63.14% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.83% (

0.03)

92.17% (

-0.04)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.95% (

-0.06)

6.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.97% (

-0.16)

23.03% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Zimbru 3.87%

Fenerbahce 85.54%

Draw 10.59%

Zimbru	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 3.87%	1-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 10.59%	0-2 @ 15.03% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 14.05% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-5 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-7 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 85.54%