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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 0
Zimbru

Kadioglu (11'), Kent (13'), Dzeko (61'), Szymanski (63'), King (88')
Hakan Yandas (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dedechko (15'), Guera (84'), Ieseanu (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Fenerbahce and Zimbru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 0-1 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Zimbru

All competitions
Last Game: Zimbru 1-0 La Fiorita
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.84%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 3.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawZimbru
86.84% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)9.19% (0.033099999999999 0.03)3.97% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.33% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)27.67% (0.084 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.66% (-0.109 -0.11)48.34% (0.107 0.11)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.78% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)4.22% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.43% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)17.57% (0.073 0.07)
Zimbru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)88.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 86.83%
    Zimbru 3.97%
    Draw 9.19%
FenerbahceDrawZimbru
3-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 11.76% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 6.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
7-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 86.83%
1-1 @ 4.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 9.19%
0-1 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 3.97%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Zimbru

Fenerbahce
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Zimbru
0.0%
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