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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadionul CPTF

Zimbru
1 - 0
La Fiorita

Dedechko (35')
Soumah (19'), Alaribe (48'), Dedechko (51'), Raileanu (62'), Grassi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Zimbru and La Fiorita.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbru

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Last Game: La Fiorita 1-1 Zimbru
Thursday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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La Fiorita

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Last Game: La Fiorita 1-1 Zimbru
Thursday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Fiorita win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Fiorita win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Zimbru win it was 1-0 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
ZimbruDrawLa Fiorita
14.98% (0.104 0.1)20.84% (0.107 0.11)64.18% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (-0.247 -0.25)46.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.231 -0.23)68.98% (0.235 0.23)
Zimbru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
La Fiorita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.139 -0.14)13.84% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.282 -0.28)41.21% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Zimbru 14.98%
    La Fiorita 64.17%
    Draw 20.84%
ZimbruDrawLa Fiorita
1-0 @ 5.01% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.09% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.98%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 64.17%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
La Fiorita
1-1
Zimbru
Casolla (33')
Amati (64'), Paradisi (90+2'), Zafferani (90+3')
Caruntu (64')
Raileanu (8')