Club Friendlies
Jul 15, 2023 at 12pm UK
Bakcell Arena

Neftchi Baku
0 - 1
Fenerbahce

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dzeko (72')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between Neftchi Baku and Fenerbahce.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rapid Vienna 2-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Red Star
Wednesday, July 12 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawFenerbahce
18.45%22.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68%76.31%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28%15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)44.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 18.45%
    Fenerbahce 59.11%
    Draw 22.42%
Neftchi BakuDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.77%
2-1 @ 4.94%
2-0 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.45%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 11.52%
0-2 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 6.58%
1-3 @ 6.09%
0-4 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.82%
2-4 @ 1.3%
0-5 @ 1.13%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 59.11%