Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (7.54%).