UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK

Bakcell Arena

Neftchi Baku
2 - 1
Rapid Vienna

(Rapid Vienna win 3-2 on aggregate)

Jaber (44'), Saief (60')
Jaber (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Burgstaller (90+5')
Grull (36'), Pejic (36'), Schick (88')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Rapid Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi Baku

Last Game: Neftchi Baku 3-0 Aris
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Rapid Vienna

Last Game: Gdansk 1-2 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, July 28 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Neftchi Baku	Draw	Rapid Vienna
33.88% ( 0.02)	24.52% ( -0.02)	41.6% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.99% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15% (

0.12)

43.85% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76% (

0.12)

66.23% (

-0.11)

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

0.07)

25.17% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

0.1)

59.9% (

-0.1)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

0.05)

21.16% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.98% (

0.08)

54.02% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Neftchi Baku 33.88%

Rapid Vienna 41.6%

Draw 24.52%

Neftchi Baku	Draw	Rapid Vienna
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.88%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.6%