Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.