Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Samsunspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
22.85% ( -0.23)	24.71% ( -0.01)	52.44% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 50.4% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-0.17)

51.44% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-0.15)

73.25% (

0.15)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

-0.31)

37.32% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

-0.31)

74.1% (

0.31)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

0.02)

19.59% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

0.05)

51.52% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Samsunspor 22.85%

Fenerbahce 52.43%

Draw 24.7%

Samsunspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.85%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.43%