Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 4-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.