UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7.15pm UK

Ljudski vrt

Maribor
0 - 3
Fenerbahce

(Fenerbahce win 6-1 on aggregate)

Skuka (26'), Milec (48'), Uskokovic (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kahveci (17'), Szymanski (78'), Tadic (80')
Akaydin (34')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and Fenerbahce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Maribor 2-1 Bravo
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Gaziantep
Sunday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Maribor had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Maribor win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Maribor	Draw	Fenerbahce
17.51% ( -0.8)	21.63% ( 0.1)	60.85% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 51.65% (

-1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

-1.74)

45.59% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.08% (

-1.68)

67.91% (

1.68)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.42% (

-1.96)

39.58% (

1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.73% (

-1.86)

76.27% (

1.86)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

-0.35)

14.51% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48% (

-0.68)

42.51% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Maribor 17.51%

Fenerbahce 60.84%

Draw 21.63%

Maribor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.51%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.63%	0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.67) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.84%