Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a FC Differdange 03 win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.