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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 4pm UK
Infetti Ground
Maribor

Birkirkara
1 - 2
Maribor

Yankam (19' pen.)
Pepe (36'), Pajovic (57'), Coppola (90+4'), Zammit (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jakupovic (80'), Skuka (88')
Lorber (11'), Uskokovic (61'), Milec (90')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Birkirkara and Maribor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birkirkara

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Last Game: Maribor 1-1 Birkirkara
Thursday, July 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Maribor

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maribor 1-1 Birkirkara
Thursday, July 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Birkirkara had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Birkirkara win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
BirkirkaraDrawMaribor
20.99% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)22.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)56.39% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.48% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.048999999999999 0.05)44.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.046999999999997 0.05)67.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Birkirkara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)72.14%
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.031999999999996 0.03)15.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (0.063000000000002 0.06)44.76% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Birkirkara 20.99%
    Maribor 56.39%
    Draw 22.61%
BirkirkaraDrawMaribor
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 20.99%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.88% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.39%

How you voted: Birkirkara vs Maribor

Birkirkara
26.1%
Draw
17.4%
Maribor
56.5%
23
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 8pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Maribor
1-1
Birkirkara
Brnic (67' pen.)
Soudani (21'), Jakupovic (68'), Lausic (84'), Rafiu (87'), Skuka (90+9')
Mbong (31')
Custodio Ribeiro (21'), Micallef (65'), Zammit (68'), Montano (70'), Pepe (74'), Pena (84'), Coppola (90+9')