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UEFA Conference League

Maribor
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ljudski vrt

Maribor
1 - 1
Birkirkara

Brnic (67' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbong (31')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and Birkirkara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: CFR Cluj 1-0 Maribor
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Birkirkara

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Birkirkara 1-0 Ljubljana (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.63%. A win for Birkirkara had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Birkirkara win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
MariborDrawBirkirkara
57.63% (-0.15 -0.15)20.93% (0.052 0.05)21.44% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.55% (-0.107 -0.11)36.45% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.41% (-0.118 -0.12)58.58% (0.121 0.12)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)12.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.46% (-0.162 -0.16)38.53% (0.165 0.16)
Birkirkara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (0.028999999999996 0.03)30.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)66.36% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 57.63%
    Birkirkara 21.44%
    Draw 20.93%
MariborDrawBirkirkara
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.63%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: Maribor vs Birkirkara

Maribor
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Birkirkara
0.0%
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