/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Falulog.png)
-
Marcel Lorber
4'
-
Marcel Lorber
56'
-
Arnel Jakupovic
65'
-
Martin Milec
76'
-
Gal Gorenak
87'
Maribor vs Aluminij - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
Result
Maribor
54.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
22.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Aluminij
23.12%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
59.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
39.85%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
37.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
62.21%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
20.39%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
79.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5
85.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
14.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
57.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
42.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Aluminij Goals
Over 0.5
69.34%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
30.66%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
33.1%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
66.9%
▼
(-0.15)
Score analysis
Maribor
54.79%
Draw
22.09%
Aluminij
23.12%
Maribor
2-1
@
9.8%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 54.79%
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 54.79%
Draw
1-1
@
10.15%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.09%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.09%
Aluminij
1-2
@
6%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 23.12%