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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
53.68% ( -0.03) | 23.5% ( 0.02) | 22.82% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.51% ( -0.09) | 46.49% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.23% ( -0.08) | 68.77% ( 0.09) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0.04) | 17.25% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -0.08) | 47.56% ( 0.08) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( -0.04) | 34.59% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% ( -0.05) | 71.31% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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