Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
0 - 0
Excelsior

Arcus (30'), Hendriks (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	SBV Excelsior
53.68% ( -0.03)	23.5% ( 0.02)	22.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.51% (

-0.09)

46.49% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.23% (

-0.08)

68.77% (

0.09)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

-0.04)

17.25% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44% (

-0.08)

47.56% (

0.08)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

-0.04)

34.59% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

-0.05)

71.31% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 53.68%

SBV Excelsior 22.82%

Draw 23.5%

Vitesse	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.68%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.82%