Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
2 - 1
Sparta

Zagre (73'), Parrott (90+4')
El Yaakoubi (2'), Driouech (45'), Zagre (75'), Parrott (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Guzman (59')
Vriends (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, September 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
36.14% ( -1.7)	23.67% ( -0.3)	40.19% ( 2)

Both teams to score 62.62% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.68% (

1.35)

39.33% (

-1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.34% (

1.4)

61.66% (

-1.4)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.25)

21.84% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

-0.38)

55.07% (

0.38)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

1.53)

19.88% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

2.42)

52% (

-2.41)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 36.15%

Sparta Rotterdam 40.19%

Draw 23.66%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.15%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.19%