Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 3
Excelsior

Olsson (9')
Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
58.71% ( 1.55)	21.89% ( -0.63)	19.41% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.25% (

1.47)

43.75% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.86% (

1.42)

66.14% (

-1.42)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

14.58% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.35% (

1.9)

42.65% (

-1.89)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.61% (

-0.11)

36.39% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

-0.11)

73.17% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 58.7%

SBV Excelsior 19.41%

Draw 21.88%

Heerenveen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.7%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.41%