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Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Heerenveen
1 - 3
Sparta

Bochniewicz (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lauritsen (34'), Saito (53', 62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, August 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, August 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawSparta Rotterdam
44.62% (0.15199999999999 0.15)25.29% (0.17 0.17)30.09% (-0.321 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.744 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.89 -0.89)48.69% (0.887 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.814 -0.81)70.8% (0.81100000000001 0.81)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.30699999999999 -0.31)21.81% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (-0.46700000000001 -0.47)55.02% (0.464 0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)29.98% (0.672 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.819 -0.82)66.09% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 44.62%
    Sparta Rotterdam 30.09%
    Draw 25.29%
HeerenveenDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.62%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.235 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.09%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Sparta

Heerenveen
45.8%
Draw
25.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
29.2%
24
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