Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 2
Heerenveen

Edvardsen (2+2'), Kuipers (22'), Rommens (39' pen.), Sow (66')
Amofa (45+2'), Edvardsen (45+2'), Kuipers (45+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Webster (45+2'), Sahraoui (87')
Webster (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Volendam
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, August 27 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Heerenveen
43.8% ( -1.04)	24.13% ( -0.02)	32.06% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 59.69% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34% (

0.54)

42.65% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.94% (

0.53)

65.05% (

-0.53)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.23)

19.67% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-0.37)

51.65% (

0.36)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

0.92)

25.69% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

1.23)

60.6% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 43.8%

Heerenveen 32.06%

Draw 24.13%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.06%