Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Pelle Clement 39' yellowcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 54' goal
  • Arno Verschueren 64' goal
  • Arno Verschueren 67' redcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Godfried Roemeratoe 18'

Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 3.45pm
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 Sparta
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 5.45pm
RKC Waalwijk 2 - 1 Volendam
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
David Min

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 38.99% (+0.58)
Draw 25% (+0.02)
RKC Waalwijk 36% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.67% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.26% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 45.74% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 31.94% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 68.05% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.03% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.96% (+0.07)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 76.74% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 23.25% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 42.83% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 57.17% (-0.37)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5 75.15% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 24.85% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 40.55% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 59.45% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 38.99%
Draw 25%
RKC Waalwijk 36%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.43% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.15% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.99% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.09% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
RKC Waalwijk
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 36%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michiel Kramer 10' goal
  • Iliass Bel Hassani 60' goal
  • goal Arno Verschueren 35'
  • goal Arno Verschueren 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Giannis Masouras 33' yellowcard
  • Vito van Crooij 39' goal
  • Adil Auassar 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Buttner 8'
  • goal Jens Odgaard 27'
  • yellowcard Vurnon Anita 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michiel Kramer 89' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Beugelsdijk 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 57' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 90'+2' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Nov 7, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Lennart Thy 59'
  • yellowcard Deroy Duarte 86'
  • yellowcard Michael Pinto 90'
  • goal Abdou Harroui 90'+2'