Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 3.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Jonathan de Guzman 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Charles-Andreas Brym 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Camiel Neghli 54' yellowcard
  • goal Malik Tillman 51'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 59'
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 80'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 88'
  • yellowcard Sergino Dest 90'

Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Excelsior 2 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 5.45pm
PSV 3 - 1 Volendam
Goals scored
111
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 20.15% (+0.35)
Draw 22.06% (+0.36)
PSV Eindhoven 57.79% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.03% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.55% (-1.07)
Under 2.5 43.45% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 34.16% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 65.84% (+1.07)
Over 4.5 17.64% (-0.79)
Under 4.5 82.36% (+0.80)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 64.56% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 35.44% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 27.8% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 72.2% (+0.28)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 85.23% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 14.77% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 56.98% (-1.12)
Under 1.5 43.02% (+1.12)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 20.15%
Draw 22.06%
PSV Eindhoven 57.78%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 5.43% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 5.39% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.82% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 5.23% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.06%
PSV Eindhoven
0-1 @ 10.01% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.57% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.14)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.08)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.78%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 74'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lennart Thy 32' goal
  • Joeri de Kamps 39' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 54' redcard
  • Vito van Crooij 62' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 63' yellowcard
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Aaron Meijers 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philipp Max 20'
  • yellowcard Jordan Teze 38'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 38'
  • goal Mauro Junior 59'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Sangare 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 82' goal
  • Ryan Thomas 86' goal
  • yellowcard Dirk Abels 65'
  • yellowcard Maduka Okoye 79'
  • goal Lennart Thy 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
3
5
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Bryan Smeets 4' goal
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Danzell Gravenberch 75' goal
  • Reda Kharchouch 87' goal
  • goal Mauro Junior 24'
  • yellowcard Ryan Thomas 37'
  • goal Donyell Malen 47'
  • goal Noni Madueke 49'
  • goal Philipp Max 71'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Nov 29, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Ledezma 30' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 78' goal
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 66'
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 81'
  • yellowcard Aaron Meijers 83'