Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
0 - 4
PSV

de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), de Jong (88')
Dest (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
20.15% ( 0.35)	22.06% ( 0.35)	57.79% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 55.03% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.55% (

-1.07)

43.45% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.16% (

-1.06)

65.84% (

1.06)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

-0.26)

35.44% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.8% (

-0.27)

72.2% (

0.28)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

-0.57)

14.77% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.98% (

-1.11)

43.02% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 20.15%

PSV Eindhoven 57.78%

Draw 22.06%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.15%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.78%