Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Lozano (5'), Til (28'), de Jong (57'), Tillman (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia McNulty (40'), Thomas (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	PEC Zwolle
72.68% ( -0.88)	15.28% ( 0.39)	12.04% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 60.95% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.97% (

-0.63)

27.03% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.48% (

-0.81)

47.52% (

0.81)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.52% (

-0.3)

6.48% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.79% (

-0.83)

24.21% (

0.83)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

0.28)

34.83% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

0.3)

71.56% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 72.68%

PEC Zwolle 12.04%

Draw 15.28%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.68%	1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.28%	1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.04%