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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome
PEC Zwolle

Vitesse
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Manhoef (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Namli (25')
Garcia McNulty (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Vitesse
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 2-0 PEC Zwolle

Having recorded an impressive away success last time out, there is a strong argument that PEC Zwolle are the clear favourites for this contest. However, we are backing the home side to bounce back from their humbling by Feyenoord to post their best result of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
VitesseDrawPEC Zwolle
43.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 23.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.87% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.57% (-0.067 -0.07)37.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)59.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)17.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)48.5% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)22.31% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)55.77% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 43.22%
    PEC Zwolle 33.61%
    Draw 23.16%
VitesseDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.61%

How you voted: Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle

Vitesse
64.7%
Draw
14.7%
PEC Zwolle
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Vitesse
1-0
PEC Zwolle
Openda (47')
Bazoer (9'), Frederiksen (50'), Vroegh (81')

Voet (6'), Saymak (55'), van den Belt (61')
Aug 15, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
0-1
Vitesse
Frederiksen (20')
Bero (31'), Buitink (72')
May 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Vitesse
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Broja (27')
Drost (54'), Toure (90+2')
Manhoef (42'), Bero (62'), Doekhi (69')
Dec 5, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
2-1
Vitesse
Drost (65'), Van Duinen (76' pen.)
Drost (77'), Reijnders (90')
Darfalou (7')
Bero (74'), Bazoer (90+3')
Toure (65')
Feb 29, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
PEC Zwolle
4-3
Vitesse
Hamer (6'), Paal (74'), Pasveer (90' og.), Ghoochannejhad (90' pen.)
Matavz (6'), Tannane (33', 90')
Bero (18'), Tannane (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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