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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 43.22% ( | 23.16% ( | 33.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( | 59.66% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( | 17.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( | 48.5% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( | 55.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 33.61% |