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Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome
PEC Zwolle

Vitesse
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Manhoef (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Namli (25')
Garcia McNulty (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Vitesse
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
VitesseDrawPEC Zwolle
43.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04)23.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01)33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.87% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.57% (-0.067 -0.07)37.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)59.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)17.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)48.5% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)22.31% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)55.77% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 43.22%
    PEC Zwolle 33.61%
    Draw 23.16%
VitesseDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.61%

How you voted: Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle

Vitesse
64.7%
Draw
14.7%
PEC Zwolle
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Vitesse
1-0
PEC Zwolle
Openda (47')
Bazoer (9'), Frederiksen (50'), Vroegh (81')

Voet (6'), Saymak (55'), van den Belt (61')
Aug 15, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
0-1
Vitesse
Frederiksen (20')
Bero (31'), Buitink (72')
May 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Vitesse
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Broja (27')
Drost (54'), Toure (90+2')
Manhoef (42'), Bero (62'), Doekhi (69')
Dec 5, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
2-1
Vitesse
Drost (65'), Van Duinen (76' pen.)
Drost (77'), Reijnders (90')
Darfalou (7')
Bero (74'), Bazoer (90+3')
Toure (65')
Feb 29, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
PEC Zwolle
4-3
Vitesse
Hamer (6'), Paal (74'), Pasveer (90' og.), Ghoochannejhad (90' pen.)
Matavz (6'), Tannane (33', 90')
Bero (18'), Tannane (81')