Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
2 - 4
PEC Zwolle

Baas (39'), Parrott (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Namli (47'), Vellios (66', 81'), Thy (73')
Serrano (90+2'), van Polen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 8 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	PEC Zwolle
31.61% ( -0.15)	22.99% ( 0.04)	45.4% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 63.66% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

-0.23)

37.35% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.44% (

-0.25)

59.56% (

0.25)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

-0.2)

23.39% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

-0.29)

57.38% (

0.29)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.11% (

-0.05)

16.89% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.07% (

-0.08)

46.93% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 31.61%

PEC Zwolle 45.4%

Draw 22.98%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.61%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.28% Total : 45.4%