Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	PEC Zwolle
47.75% ( 0.59)	22.66% ( -0.06)	29.6% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 63.67% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.16% (

-0.02)

36.84% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.99% (

-0.02)

59.02% (

0.03)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.17% (

0.21)

15.83% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.99% (

0.38)

45.01% (

-0.37)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

-0.33)

24.36% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24% (

-0.47)

58.76% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Heracles 47.75%

PEC Zwolle 29.6%

Draw 22.65%

Heracles	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.6%