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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 7.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 80.47% ( | 12.4% | 7.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.98% ( | 29.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50% ( | 49.99% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.47% ( | 5.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.47% | 21.53% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( | 46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.28% ( | 81.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 10.65% 3-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.45% 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 4-1 @ 5.78% 5-0 @ 4.31% 5-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 2.25% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 4.66% Total : 80.45% | 1-1 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 3.21% 0-0 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.93% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.94% Total : 7.13% |