Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.