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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
70.38% ( 0.94) | 16.67% ( -0.28) | 12.95% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 58.1% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.26% ( -0.28) | 31.73% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.74% ( -0.33) | 53.25% ( 0.33) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.94% ( 0.13) | 8.05% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.66% ( 0.32) | 28.33% ( -0.32) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.19% ( -1.13) | 36.8% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( -1.14) | 73.59% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.38% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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