Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Heracles
Nov 4, 2023 3.30pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Polman Stadion
PSV
  • Justin Hoogma 21' redcard
  • Navajo Bakboord 26' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 22'
  • goal Jerdy Schouten 44'
  • goal Malik Tillman 64'
  • goal Andre Ramalho 69'
  • goal Guus Til 84'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 90'

Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 5.45pm
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
PSV 5 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
111
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

Heracles 24.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 22.14% ▲ (+0.04)
PSV Eindhoven 53.25% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 60.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 71.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 28.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 35.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.51% ▼ (-0.10)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 85.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 14.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 57.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 42.56% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Heracles 24.6%
Draw 22.14%
PSV Eindhoven 53.25%
Heracles
2-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 24.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.14%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 53.25%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 23
PSV
Mar 6, 2022 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Heracles
  • Joey Veerman 20' goal
  • Eran Zahavi 55' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 71' goal
  • Philipp Max 86' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Armenteros 69'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Heracles
Aug 14, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
PSV
  • Noah Fadiga 26' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Quagliata 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauro Junior 30'
  • goal Bruma 39'
  • goal Noni Madueke 63'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 76'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
PSV
Apr 4, 2021 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Heracles
  • Donyell Malen 9' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 21' goal
  • Eran Zahavi 59' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Ihattaren 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Giacomo Quagliata 71'
  • yellowcard Robin Propper 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Heracles
Sep 27, 2020 3.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
PSV
  • Jeff Hardeveld 28' yellowcard
  • Rai Vloet 31' goal
  • Teun Bijleveld 42' yellowcard
  • Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 77' yellowcard
  • Robin Propper 88' yellowcard
  • goal Philipp Max 51'
  • yellowcard Pablo Rosario 73'
  • yellowcard Bruma 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
PSV
Apr 4, 2020 5.30pm
Philips Stadion
Heracles
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Heracles
Aug 18, 2019 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Polman Stadion (Almelo)
PSV
  • Mauro Junior 57' yellowcard
  • Silvester van der Water 73' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 16'
  • yellowcard Michal Sadilek 45'
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 50'
  • goal Mohammed Ihattaren 58'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 67'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 75'
  • yellowcard Nick Viergever 78'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 84'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 88'

Form Data

Heerenveen 3 - 0 Heracles
Heracles 2 - 2 FC Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 4 - 0 Heracles
Heracles 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle
AZ 1 - 1 Heracles
Volendam 2 - 2 Heracles
PSV 5 - 2 Ajax
Lens 1 - 1 PSV
PSV 3 - 1 Sittard
Sparta 0 - 4 PSV
PSV 2 - 2 Sevilla
PSV 3 - 1 Volendam