Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
0 - 6
PSV

Bakboord (26')

FT(HT: 0-2)

de Jong (22' pen.), Schouten (44'), Tillman (64'), Ramalho (69'), Til (84'), Pepi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 5-2 Ajax
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
24.6% ( 0.13)	22.14% ( 0.04)	53.25% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 60.95% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.54% (

-0.03)

38.46% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.25% (

-0.04)

60.75% (

0.04)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

0.08)

28.69% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

0.1)

64.51% (

-0.1)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47% (

-0.06)

14.53% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.44% (

-0.13)

42.56% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Heracles 24.6%

PSV Eindhoven 53.25%

Draw 22.14%

Heracles	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.6%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.25%