Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Heracles

Sahraoui (10'), Brouwers (21', 72')
Brouwers (40'), Kohlert (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bakboord (15'), Bultman (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.3% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Heracles
55.68% ( 0.66)	22.02% ( -0.31)	22.3% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 58.42% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52% (

0.98)

40.48% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

0.99)

62.86% (

-0.99)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

0.55)

14.44% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.61% (

1.05)

42.39% (

-1.05)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

0.23)

31.72% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

0.26)

68.14% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 55.68%

Heracles 22.3%

Draw 22.01%

Heerenveen	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.68%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.3%