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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | FC Twente |
| 26.32% ( | 23.11% ( | 50.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.58% ( | 41.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( | 63.82% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( | 64.84% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( | 16.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( | 46.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-0 @ 3.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.32% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 1-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.56% |