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Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
Polman Stadion
FC Twente logo

Heracles
2 - 2
FC Twente

Azzaoui (6'), Vloet (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Menig (13'), Danilo (50')

Preview: Heracles vs. FC Twente - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

FC Twente and Heracles face off against each other on Saturday with only six points separating the sides in the Eredivisie table.

Both teams failed to win their respective league games last time out, and the game represents an opportunity to get back to winning ways.


Match preview

Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Twente played out an entertaining 2-2 draw versus Feyenoord on Sunday, in a game where they were unlucky not to have picked up all three points.

Ron Jans's men were 2-0 up inside 15 minutes courtesy of goals from Danilo and Tyronne Ebuehi, which were barely 60 seconds apart.

The Tukkers missed several chances to add to that lead before it was eventually wiped out by their opponents' only shots on target.

Next up for them is a trip away from home and, given their record on the road this season, they will fancy themselves to return to De Grolsch Veste with a point at least.

Heracles lost a second consecutive league game as they were humbled at the Mandemakers Stadion, where RKC Waalwijk claimed a 3-0 win on Sunday.

Frank Wormuth's men were beaten 2-0 by Ajax eight days before that which brought their four-game unbeaten run to an end, and they have now slipped to 11th place on the log.

However, the earlier mentioned run yielded 10 points from a possible 12, pulling the Heraclieden clear of any relegation trouble.

A repeat of last season's eighth-place finish is still achievable, but they must make up a six-point gap on Twente for that to happen.

Saturday's hosts have also won the last two meetings between the teams, and a third win in a row would be a good start to making up that deficit.

Heracles Eredivisie form: WDWWLL

FC Twente Eredivisie form: LDDLWD


Team News

Luka Ilic will miss the game as he serves the third of a three-game suspension following his sending-off at PSV Eindhoven three Saturdays ago.

The duo of Julio Pleguezuelo and Vaclav Cerny picked up season-ending knee injuries over the course of the last month, and are unavailable for this one.

Heracles' Giacomo Quagliata has served his one-game suspension, and he is expected to return to the squad which should see Jeff Hardeveld drop back to the bench.

The home team will have to cope with the absence of Navajo Bakboord, who has not featured this season as he remains sidelined with a muscle injury.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Quagliata, Propper, Rente, Breukers; Schoofs, Azzaoui, De La Torre; Van De Water, Vloet, Burgzorg

FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Dumic, Pierie, Pleguezuelo, Smal; Zerrouki, Roemeratoe, Bosch; Menig, Danilo, Van Leeuwen


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 1-2 FC Twente

The two sides are out of form at the moment so this could swing in any direction. However, we are leaning towards a Twente victory in this one albeit by a narrow margin.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV30263195177881
2Feyenoord30226277235472
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles30119104439542
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen30106145056-636
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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