Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Walemark (6', 6')
Kohlert (16'), Kohlert (16')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Dost (45+2', 45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
55.9% ( 0.16)	23.09% ( 0.1)	21.01% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.99% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.75)

46.8% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94% (

-0.71)

69.06% (

0.71)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

-0.21)

16.56% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.65% (

-0.38)

46.34% (

0.38)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5% (

-0.69)

36.49% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.72% (

-0.7)

73.28% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 55.9%

NEC 21.01%

Draw 23.08%

Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.9%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.01%