MX23RW : Monday, April 29 13:11:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
NEC

Heerenveen
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dost (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-1 NEC

Heerenveen have looked very poor over the past few weeks, losing their last five games on the spin, but NEC have picked up just one point from their opening three away games. As such, we expect the hosts to stop the rot this weekend, which would be a huge relief for Van Wonderen considering his side have underperformed massively of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawNEC
55.9% (0.161 0.16) 23.09% (0.101 0.1) 21.01% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.755 -0.75)46.8% (0.756 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.712 -0.71)69.06% (0.712 0.71)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43% (-0.211 -0.21)16.56% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.65% (-0.382 -0.38)46.34% (0.383 0.38)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (-0.686 -0.69)36.49% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-0.699 -0.7)73.28% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 55.9%
    NEC 21.01%
    Draw 23.08%
HeerenveenDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.86% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.9%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.01%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Nijmegen

Heerenveen
46.7%
Draw
26.7%
NEC
26.7%
15
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
May 14, 2017 1.30pm
Heerenveen
0-2
Nijmegen

Schmidt (41')
Groeneveld (23'), Awoniyi (64')
von Haacke (28'), Messaoud (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!