MX23RW : Monday, April 29 15:41:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen

AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brouwers (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen

Nothing looks likely to stop AZ in their current form, and this should be another routine success before looking ahead to the visit of Aston Villa. Despite ending their five-game losing run before the break, Heerenveen are unlikely to spring a big surprise and could well slip further down the table come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
73.34% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01) 16.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 10.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 73.33%
    Heerenveen 10.64%
    Draw 16.02%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.04%
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 73.33%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.02%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.64%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Heerenveen
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!