Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brouwers (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
73.34% ( -0.01)	16.02% ( 0)	10.64% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.36% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.85% (

35.15% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.84% (

57.16% (

-0)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.74% (

-0)

8.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.15% (

-0)

28.85% (

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.07% (

0.01)

42.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.77% (

0.01)

79.23% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 73.33%

Heerenveen 10.64%

Draw 16.02%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.02% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.9% Total : 73.33%	1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.02%	1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3% 0-2 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.64%