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Steven Bergwijn
50'
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Silvano Vos
65'
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Branco van den Boomen
73'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
45'
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Dani de Wit
57'
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Bruno Martins Indi
87'
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Ajax Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.51%
2-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 38.57%