AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax
1 - 2
AZ

van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlidis (45'), de Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
37.51% (0.704 0.7)23.91% (0.186 0.19)38.57% (-0.89 -0.89)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.657 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-0.872 -0.87)40.41% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (-0.90199999999999 -0.9)62.79% (0.90199999999999 0.9)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)21.63% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)54.75% (0.055 0.05)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.11% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-1.262 -1.26)53.94% (1.261 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 37.51%
    AZ Alkmaar 38.57%
    Draw 23.91%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.112 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 38.57%

How you voted: Ajax vs AZ

Ajax
35.0%
Draw
10.0%
AZ Alkmaar
55.0%
40
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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