/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
-
Luuk de Jong
12'
-
Hirving Lozano
38'
-
Andre Ramalho
45'+2'
-
Deiver Machado
42'
-
Kevin Danso
43'
-
Elye Wahi
45'+1'
-
Florian Sotoca
45'+1'
-
Jonathan Gradit
52'
-
Facundo Medina
53'
-
Morgan Guilavogui
82'
-
Morgan Guilavogui
90'+2'
PSV Eindhoven vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Fpsv-eindhoven.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
56.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
21.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Lens
22.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
60.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
37.69%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
40.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
59.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
22.19%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
77.81%
▼
(-0.03)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
86.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
13.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
59.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
40.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
69.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
30.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
33.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
66.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
56.34%
Draw
21.42%
Lens
22.25%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1
@
9.79%
2-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 56.34%
2-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 56.34%
Draw
1-1
@
9.7%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.42%
2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.42%
Lens
1-2
@
5.81%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.25%